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基于混沌时间序列分析的飞机加油量计算方法
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Chaotic time series based calculation method for aircraft fueling charge
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    摘要:

    针对民航运输业中因加油量过多而导致的“油耗油”问题,结合飞行小时和小时油耗的实际意义,构建了基于飞行小时的飞机加油量计算方法。通过对2006—2014年B737-800飞机在2 000 km航段上的实际飞行小时和油耗的案例分析,借助混沌时间序列模型分析飞行小时的数值特征,基于海明距离和相似度选取邻域点,提出了改进的小数据量的加权零阶局域预测法。仿真结果表明:该方法的多步预测性能优于加权零阶预测法。选取某航空公司B737-800飞机航班案例和飞行小时的预测结果,验证飞机燃油加油量计算方法的有效性。结果表明:在相同的航程内,使用新方法后加油量可减少790 ~2 795 kg,估计降低油耗0.6%~1.47%。

    Abstract:

    In terms of the problem “surplus fuel will increase fuel consumption” in Civil aviation transportation, together with the practical significance of flight time and fuel consumption per hour, this paper proposed a calculation method for the fuel capacity upon flight time. We analyzed the cases which include the collected flight time and fuel consumption of passenger airplane B737-800 on 2 000 kilometers routes, explored the numerical features of flight time by applying the chaotic time series theory, selected the neighborhood points by hamming distance and similarity, then proposed an improved adding-weight zero-rank local region prediction model especially for small datasets. Simulation results show that our proposed method could provide a better fit in multi-steps prediction than state-of-art adding-weight zero-rank prediction algorithms. The airline flight case of B737-800 and the predicted flight time were collected, and the proposed method has been validated. Numerical experiments show that this new method could save fuel capacity from 790 kg to 2 795 kg and reduce the fuel consumption from 0.6% to 1.47% during the same voyage.

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刘家学,李波,郭润夏.基于混沌时间序列分析的飞机加油量计算方法[J].机床与液压,2018,46(12):36-42.
. Chaotic time series based calculation method for aircraft fueling charge[J]. Machine Tool & Hydraulics,2018,46(12):36-42

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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-07-20
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