欢迎访问机床与液压官方网站!

咨询热线:020-32385312 32385313 RSS EMAIL-ALERT
基于动态贝叶斯网络的多状态系统可靠性分析
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(71861021);甘肃省重点研发项目(17YF1FA122);甘肃省高等学校科研项目资助(2018A-026;2018C-10);铁路总公司科研计划课题(2015T002-D)


Reliability Analysis of Multi State System Based on Dynamic Bayesian Network
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    为避免离散T-S模糊故障树计算误差,清晰表达系统可靠度随时间变化趋势,将基于冲激函数约束的连续时间T-S动态故障树与动态贝叶斯网络相结合,既可体现连续时间T-S模糊动态故障树的动静态描述能力,又能发挥贝叶斯网络双向推理建模与可描述动态的优势;然后在GeNIe2.0软件中搭建贝叶斯网络模型,导出后验概率,再计算合成动静态模块的重要度;最后以动车组空气供给系统为例,进行了可靠性分析,并于软件中仿真系统可靠度随时间的变化曲线,验证了模糊动态贝叶斯网络方法的正确性与合理性。研究结果表明:安全阀与单向阀为系统的薄弱环节,应加大检查检修频次,其余部件可参考图示结果合理安排设备维护频次。

    Abstract:

    In order to avoid the calculation error of discrete T-S fuzzy fault tree,to clearly express the variation trend of system reliability with time,the combination of the continuous-time T-S dynamic fault tree based on impulse function constraint and dynamic Bayesian network could not only reflect the dynamic and static description ability of the continuous-time T-S fuzzy dynamic fault tree,but also give full play to the advantages of two-way inference modeling and describable dynamic of Bayesian network.The Bayesian network model was built in GeNIe2.0 software,and the posterior probability was derived.Then,the importance degree of the synthesized dynamic and static modules was calculated.Finally,taking the EMU air supply system as an example,the reliability analysis was carried out,and the variation curve of system reliability with time was simulated in the software.The correctness and rationality of the fuzzy dynamic Bayesian network method were verified.The results show that the safety valve and the check valve are the weak links of the system,so the frequency of inspection and maintenance should be increased.The other parts can be reasonably arranged for equipment maintenance frequency according to the results shown in the diagram.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

齐金平,李少雄,周亚辉,王康.基于动态贝叶斯网络的多状态系统可靠性分析[J].机床与液压,2022,50(18):142-145.
QI Jinping, LI Shaoxiong, ZHOU Yahui, WANG Kang. Reliability Analysis of Multi State System Based on Dynamic Bayesian Network[J]. Machine Tool & Hydraulics,2022,50(18):142-145

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-01-17
  • 出版日期: 2022-09-28