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基于EMD-LSTM的冷轧煤气消耗量预测模型仿真
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河北省自然科学基金项目(E2014209106);河北省自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(F2019209599)


Simulation of Gas Consumption Prediction Model for Cold Rolling Based on EMD-LSTM
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    摘要:

    针对煤气消耗数据量大,而传统机器学习模型在处理大数据时准确度不高,且数据在时间上有一定规律可循的特点,利用长短时记忆神经网络(LSTM)独特的记忆能力对煤气进行预测。为提高LSTM预测模型精度,使用经验模态分解(EMD)算法将煤气消耗数据分解为若干个相对平稳的固有模态函数和一个残差项r(t),提出基于EMD-LSTM算法的组合煤气预测模型。结果表明:与BP、EMD-BP、LSTM模型相比,该方法能够准确预测煤气消耗量,为企业节约成本和调度人员进行煤气分配提供参考。

    Abstract:

    In view of the large amount of gas consumption data and the low accuracy of the traditional machine learning model in processing large data, and the regular data in time, the unique memory ability of long short-term memory (LSTM) was used to predict the gas. In order to improve the accuracy of LSTM prediction model, empirical mode decomposition (EMD) algorithm was used to decompose the gas consumption data into several relatively stable intrinsic mode functions and a residual term r(t), a combined prediction model based on EMD-LSTM algorithm was proposed. The results show that compared with BP, EMD-BP and LSTM models, the gas consumption can be accurately predicted by using the method, which can provide reference for cost saving and gas allocation.

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翟慧,熊伟,李福进,杨杰.基于EMD-LSTM的冷轧煤气消耗量预测模型仿真[J].机床与液压,2022,50(14):141-145.
ZHAI Hui, XIONG Wei, LI Fujin, YANG Jie. Simulation of Gas Consumption Prediction Model for Cold Rolling Based on EMD-LSTM[J]. Machine Tool & Hydraulics,2022,50(14):141-145

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-01-17
  • 出版日期: 2022-07-28