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基于状态空间模型的加工中心功能铣头实时寿命预测
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河南省科技攻关项目(212102210340);河南省智能制造技术与装备工程技术研究中心项目(3118210370)


Real-Time Life Prediction of Functional Milling Head of Machining Center Based on State-Space Model
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    摘要:

    针对铣头运行过程中退化状态不可直接测量、寿命数据难获取、样本小以及成本高等问题,提出基于状态空间模型的铣头性能退化及实时寿命预测模型。融合最新测定的铣头温度数据,并使用贝叶斯理论计算模型参数,更新铣头退化状态变化率以及剩余寿命的失效概率密度,实现对铣头的在线实时寿命预测。加工中心功能铣头运行过程中的温度数据表明:铣头寿命预测准确率随着测定的温度数据增加而逐渐增加,至运行末期,准确率可达96%以上,同时其退化状态变化率也随着铣头运行时间的增加而逐渐减小。

    Abstract:

    For the problem that degradation state of the milling head cannot be directly measured, life data of milling head is difficult to obtain,sample size is small and cost is expensive,a model of milling head performance degradation and real-time life prediction based on the state-space model was proposed.The latest measured milling head temperature data were incorporated,the rate of change of milling head degradation and the failure probability density of the remaining life were updated using the Bayesian theory,then the online real-time life prediction of the milling head was realized.The temperature data during the operation of the functional milling head of the machining center shows that:the prediction accuracy of the remaining life increases gradually with the increase of the temperature data,the accuracy of the prediction is higher than 96% at the end stage.At the same time,the change rate of the degradation state gradually decreases with the increase of the running time of the milling head.

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刘丽娜,秦飞跃,宋欣钢.基于状态空间模型的加工中心功能铣头实时寿命预测[J].机床与液压,2023,51(24):184-187.
LIU Lina, QIN Feiyue, SONG Xingang. Real-Time Life Prediction of Functional Milling Head of Machining Center Based on State-Space Model[J]. Machine Tool & Hydraulics,2023,51(24):184-187

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-01-05
  • 出版日期: 2023-12-28